Page 41 - Revista del Centro de Investigación y Desarrollo del INEI - Economía, Sociedad y Estadística N° 9

Table 3: Determinants of Immigration and Emigration in Peru

(1) (2) (3) (4)
VARIABLES %Emigration %Immigration Var. Emigration Var.Immigration
Characteristics at 1981
Log, Population in 1981 -3,82*** 1,08*** 3,18*** -2,51***
(0,19) (0,16) (0,35) (0,28)

Percentage of the -0,12*** -0,10*** 0,04*** 0,02*
population that was rural in 1981 (0,01) (0,01) (0,01) (0,01)

Accessibility and Political importance
Distance in Kilometers to Metropolitan -0,01** 0 0 -0,01**
Lima (0,00) (0,00) (0,01) (0,00)

Distance in Kilometers to 0,01* 0,01*** -0,01 0
Regional Capital (0,00) (0,00) (0,01) (0,01)

Distance in Kilometers to 0,03*** 0,04*** 0,01 -0,04***
Province Capital (0,01) (0,01) (0,02) (0,01)

Dummy if Metropolitan -10,60*** 1,98* 3,74 0,97
Lima (1,71) (1,08) (2,34) (2,15)

Dummy if is Region Capital -5,97*** 1,06*** -3,14*** 3,94***
(0,48) (0,34) (0,90) (0,69)

Dummy if is Province 15,39*** 2,71*** -8,72*** 2,01***
capital (0,58) (0,44) (1,00) (0,77)

Geographic Characteristics
Average Altitude 2,47*** -4,50*** 3,94*** 2,73***
(0,60) (0,49) (1,10) (0,93)

Average Slope 0,05 -0,10*** 0,27*** -0,21***
(0,03) (0,03) (0,07) (0,05)

Constant 55,39*** 24,29*** -17,54*** 21,67***
(2,13) (1,92) (3,88) (3,24)

Dominant Natural Region Yes Yes Yes Yes
Department Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes

Year Fixed Effects Yes Yes n.a. n.a.
Observations 6,348 6,348 1,587 1,587

R-Squared 0,433 0,564 0,311 0,242
Robust errors in parenthesis.
*** p<0,01, ** p<0,05, * p<0,1
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