Page 35 - Revista del Centro de Investigación y Desarrollo del INEI - Economía, Sociedad y Estadística N° 9
P. 35

3.  DATA AND METHODOLOGY                          Finally, the following will also be included as controls:

              Data:                                             -   Rural population rate by the district in 1981.

                                                                -   The logarithm of the population of the district in
              The entire study will be conducted using secondary
              data. In particular, the four population censuses of   1981.
              Peru will be used:                                -   Regional Fixed Effects.
                                                                -   Dummy variables, if it is provincial capital, if it is
              -   VIII Population Census and Housing III 1981 .
                                                        1
                                                                   department capital, and if it is Metropolitan Lima.
              -   IX Population Census and IV Housing 1993.
              -   XI Population Census and Housing VI 2007.
              -   XII Population Census and VII Housing 2017.


              The indicators will be constructed:

              -   Immigration Rate, as the percentage of the
                 population, residing in the origin district but born
                 in another district divided among the people residing
                 in said district.
              -   Emigration Rate, as the percentage of the population  4.  RESULTS:
                 that was born in the origin district and resides in
                 any other district divided among the population  Typology:
                 that was born in origin district.
                                                                In this case, the information from the four censuses is
              On the other hand, to study what factors are associated  combined, and a typology will be constructed with the
              with aging or rejuvenation in the district:       combinations. In each census, three categories will be
                                                                generated: Sender, Receiver, and Neither Sender nor
              -   Sum of Older Adults (65 or older) in the district.  Receiver (Ni-Ni).
              -   Adult Sum (40-64) in the district.
                                                                -   Mostly Sender, if the district has a district emigration
              -   Sum of Youth (18-39) in the district.            rate higher than the country’s average.
              -   Sum of Children and adolescents (under 18) in the  -   Mostly Receiver, if the district has a district
                 district.                                         immigration rate higher than the country’s average.
                                                                -   Neither Sender nor Receiver (Ni-Ni), if it is below in
              The following variables are used as control variable or
              determinants of migration patterns.                  both. That is, it is a district with low exit and entry
                                                                   mobility.
              -   Altitude and average slope.
                                                                This classification was chosen using “Cluster Analysis”
              -   Dominant natural region (using the definition of  using the combination of the Emigration Rate and
                 Pulgar-Vidal).                                 Immigration Rate. The results of this classification for
                                                                the four censuses are presented in Table 1.
              -   Distance to the National Capital (Metropolitan Lima).
              -   Distance to the regional capital.             Then, these three categories are combined for the four
                                                                censuses, which are summarized in the following 7,
              -   Distance to the provincial capital.           shown in Table 2.



                      1   There is no information available of 3 regions: Apurímac, Loreto and San Martín, for these cases, the data were imputed using the
                         1993 information in combination with that of the other regions in 1981.
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